Oil futures saw muted gains on Friday as a record rise in coronavirus cases in the U.S. and growing infections in parts of the world signaled a hard slog for a fuller recovery in crude-oil ddemand over the longer term.
“The oil demand recovery story was dealt a blow this week after the US registered the biggest-ever jump in coronavirus cases, suggesting many states may have to visit regional lockdowns soon,” wrote Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a Friday research note.
U.S. states, including Arizona, Texas, South Carolina and Florida, saw confirmed cases rise by more than 30% over the past week, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.
For the week, WTI is looking at a 2.3% weekly decline, while Brent is on track for a drop of 1.8%, based on the most-active contract’s close last Friday.
Helping providing some grist for the bulls was a report from Reuters, using satellite data, pointing to a pick up in traffic in China, Europe and the U.S., that could be upbeat for energy uptake. However, that contrast with a survey of economists by Reuters that indicates expectations for a deeper global recession than earlier estimates, which could ultimately prove a headwind for oil prices in the future.